Stress stemming from educational reforms as a key determinant of teachers turnover intentions: evidence from TALIS 2018
Nurmukhamed D. Chegenbayeva A. Nurumov K. Hernández-Torrano D.
June 2025Springer Science and Business Media B.V.
Quality and Quantity
2025#59Issue 32361 - 2380 pp.
It is widely believed that stress can affect teachers’ intention to change the workplace. This study investigates the implementation of educational policies and reforms as one of the key determinants of teachers’ intention to leave schools in Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan presents a unique case since the country endorsed several educational policies in recent years which directly impacted teaching and administrative practices within schools. Using the Teaching and Learning International Survey 2018 (TALIS) data with the country-specific questionnaire from a complex sample of 6566 teachers nested within 331 schools, this study constructs a statistical measure of external stress caused by the implementation of educational policies and test its impact on teachers’ intention to leave through a Bayesian multilevel logistic regression model. In addition, the analysis controls for sociodemographic, professional, and students related covariates, while considering the intrinsic dimension of stress stemming from workload, student behavior and expectation. Overall, the results suggest that stress caused by educational policies has a statistically significant positive effect on teachers’ intentions to transfer between schools, beyond and above teacher and student variables and intrinsic sources of stress. The results are discussed, and implications for researchers and policy makers to develop evidence-based policy interventions aimed at increasing teacher retention in contexts with intensive educational reforms are presented.
Education policy , Education reform , Kazakhstan , Stress , TALIS , Teacher turnover , Wellbeing
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Graduate School of Public Policy, Nazarbayev University, Astana, Kazakhstan
JSC National Center for Education Research and Evaluation, Astana, Kazakhstan
Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, 426 Thompson St, Ann Arbor, 48104, MI, United States
Graduate School of Education, Nazarbayev University, Astana, Kazakhstan
Graduate School of Public Policy
JSC National Center for Education Research and Evaluation
Institute for Social Research
Graduate School of Education
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