Modelling relationships between demoethical values and sustainable development using Bayesian networks and foresight

Zhanbayev R.A. Dauletaliyeva D. Shutaleva A.V. Beisekova Z. Irfan M. Maksimov D.G. Zhao T. Abdykadyrkyzy R.
December 2026 Springer Nature

Discover Sustainability
2026 #7 Issue 1

The main objective of this study is to model the relationship between demoethical values such as “spirituality and morality”, “responsibility”, “justice”, “rationality” and “security”, and the components of demoeconomics, demography and democracy, which can satisfy social needs and become an effective tool for transformation to achieve the goals of sustainable digitalization and a green future (more effectively than alternatives). This goal is motivated by poverty, digital inequality, growing demographic threats, political instability, deteriorating security, and rising environmental threats, including inefficient use of energy and water resources, are at the top of the global agenda. The study uses Bayesian networks and Foresight methods, which are well-suited for identifying promising areas of sustainable development of society, including demoethical, demoeconomic, demographic, and democratic components of state and national development strategies. A survey of citizens was conducted to assess the societal values and their impact on sustainable development from May 12 to July 27, 2024. The survey participants were residents of the Republic of Kazakhstan, with the predominant category of respondents being university students (N = 4176). Analyzing theoretical and methodological approaches on demoethical values and phenomena can contribute to shaping social policy, increasing the effectiveness of solving complex and interrelated social problems.

Democracy , Demoeconomics , Demoethical values , Demography , Social transformation , Sustainable development goals (SDG) , Sustainable development of society

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National Engineering Academy of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Almaty, 050010, Kazakhstan
Humboldt University of Berlin, Humboldt Innovation GmbH, Unter Den Linden 6, Berlin, 10117, Germany
University of Friendship of People’s Academician A. Kuatbekov, Shymkent, Kazakhstan
Department of Philosophy, Ural Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, Ekaterinburg, 620002, Russian Federation
Ural State Law University Named After V.F. Yakovlev, Ekaterinburg, 620137, Russian Federation
Kazakh National Agrarian Research University, Almaty, 050010, Kazakhstan
School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China
Department of Public Service and Personnel Management, Udmurt State University, Izhevsk, 426034, Russian Federation
School of Economics, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Xinhua District, No. 47 Xuefu Road, Hebei, Shijiazhuang, 050061, China
Chair of Electronics, Telecommunications and Space Technologies of the Institute of Automation and Information Technologies of Satbayev University (Satbayev KazNRTU), Almaty, 050013, Kazakhstan

National Engineering Academy of the Republic of Kazakhstan
Humboldt University of Berlin
University of Friendship of People’s Academician A. Kuatbekov
Department of Philosophy
Ural State Law University Named After V.F. Yakovlev
Kazakh National Agrarian Research University
School of Management and Economics
Department of Public Service and Personnel Management
School of Economics
Chair of Electronics

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