An analysis of the rebound impact of energy consumption and the factors that influence it in Chinas agricultural productivity
Yin Y. Gulzar F. Mamadiyarov Z. Aizhan A. Yadav R.S. Chen C.
November 2024Elsevier Ltd
Energy Strategy Reviews
2024#56
With Chinas agricultural sector being a major contributor to both the national economy and energy consumption, the rebound effect—the phenomenon where energy efficiency improvements lead to increased energy use—poses significant challenges to sustainable energy use. The motivation for this study stems from the need to understand the extent of this rebound impact and its underlying drivers, particularly in the context of Chinas agricultural modernization efforts. This study examines the rebound effect of energy consumption in Chinas agricultural productivity and the factors influencing it over the period from 1990 to 2023. Using a Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) model, this research analyzes the relationship between energy consumption, agricultural productivity, and several influencing factors, including technological innovation, rural-urban migration, and financial development. The results reveal that (1) energy efficiency improvements have led to a significant rebound effect in Chinas agricultural sector, limiting potential energy savings, (2) technological advancements have mitigated the rebound effect to some extent, but the effect remains substantial, (3) rural-urban migration has contributed to labor shortages, increasing mechanization and energy demand, and (4) financial development has positively influenced both agricultural productivity and energy use, exacerbating the rebound effect. The study suggests that policymakers should focus on developing stricter energy efficiency standards and promoting technological innovations that reduce energy intensity in agriculture, while also addressing labor migration challenges to curb the rebound impact and achieve more sustainable agricultural growth.
Agricultural productivity , Energy consumption , GMM model , Rebound effect , Sustainable energy
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Shandong Vocational Institute of Fashion Technology, China
Department of Economics, Ghazi University, Dera Ghazi Khan, Pakistan
Department of Economics Mamun University, Khiva, 220900, Uzbekistan
International School of Finance and Technology, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Department of Environmental Biotechnology, Faculty of Environmental and Energy Engineering, Silesian University of Technology, ul. Akademicka 2A, Gliwice, 44-100, Poland
Yanshan University, China
Shandong Vocational Institute of Fashion Technology
Department of Economics
Department of Economics Mamun University
International School of Finance and Technology
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University
Department of Environmental Biotechnology
Yanshan University
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