Comprehensive Survey: Approaches to Emerging Technologies Detection within Scientific Publications
Yelenov A. Pak A.A. Ziyaden A.A. Akhmetov I. Gelbukh A. Gelbukh I.
2022Instituto Politecnico Nacional
Computacion y Sistemas
2022#26Issue 41587 - 1601 pp.
The identification of breakthrough topics and emerging technologies has been of interest to the governments of many countries and the scientific community since the last century. This study presents the status and trend of the research field through a comprehensive review of relevant publications, a new look at the problem of defining the term emergent technologies, defining boundaries between similar terms; and a modern baseline method on the citation prediction subtask for the discovery of emergent technologies. The outcomes of this technique have demonstrated the significance of features that characterize the preceding 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year citation counts, as well as their impact on the quality of neural network and random forest models. Our hypothesis, however, that author-specific measures may enhance prediction results was not supported. We ascribe this difficulty to the dimensionality curse. The authors examined methodological elements of research and technological development; consequently, it is important to note that, from a technical viewpoint, theoretical research is far from complete due to the vast variety of projects, outstanding challenges, research questions, and market assumptions. Finding more input characteristics to improve the quality of predictions and switching from classification to regression may also improve the precision of the suggested baseline model.
Citation prediction , emergent technology , neural networks , scientometrics
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Institute of Information and Computational Technologies, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Kazakh-British Technical University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Mexico City, Mexico
Independent Researcher, Mexico City, Mexico
Institute of Information and Computational Technologies
Kazakh-British Technical University
Instituto Politécnico Nacional
Independent Researcher
10 лет помогаем публиковать статьи Международный издатель
Книга Публикация научной статьи Волощук 2026 Book Publication of a scientific article 2026