Central Asia in a changing world: Understanding the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict


Nyshanbayev N. Augan M. Almaz M. Baiymbetova Z.
October-December 2024Kasetsart University

Kasetsart Journal of Social Sciences
2024#45Issue 41373 - 1382 pp.

This study aims to analyze the geopolitical realignments and economic repercussions in Central Asia that have resulted from the Russo-Ukrainian conflict. Specifically, it explores the challenges that have emerged in the established relations between Russia and the Central Asian states, with a focus on the concerns over dependence on Russia. The imposition of Western sanctions on Russia has had a complex impact on trade relations and economic conditions in the region, prompting the Central Asian states to reconsider their ties with other global actors. The study employs a qualitative methodology to examine the political, economic, and security aspects of these relationships, drawing on empirical data, official statements, and scholarly literature. The findings highlight notable shifts in the geopolitical self-perception and diplomatic postures of the Central Asian countries, indicating a growing sense of independence and agency in international affairs. However, the declining influence of Russia exposes potential risks and opens the door for other global powers to step in. Consequently, the paper argues for Central Asian leadership to develop a comprehensive and strategic understanding of these dynamics to balance immediate benefits with long-term regional stability and prosperity.

economic impact , geopolitical realignment , regional autonomy , Russo-Ukrainian conflict , Сentral Asia

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Department of International Relations and World Economy, Faculty of International Relations, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty City, 050040, Kazakhstan
Department of International Relations, Faculty of International Relations, Law and Business, Kazakh Ablaikhan University of International Relations and World Languages, Almaty City, 050040, Kazakhstan
Department of Physics, Institute of Physics, Mathematics and Computing, Kazakh National Women’s Teacher Training University, Almaty city, 050040, Kazakhstan

Department of International Relations and World Economy
Department of International Relations
Department of Physics

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