Predicting LAN switch failures: An integrated approach with DES and machine learning techniques (RF/LR/DT/SVM)

Myrzatay A. Rzayeva L. Bandini S. Shayea I. Saoud B. Çolak I. Kayisli K.
September 2024 Elsevier B.V.

Results in Engineering
2024 #23

This research paper introduces an innovative approach to predicting failures in Local Area Network (LAN) switches, combining Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) with a suite of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms including Random Forest (RF), Logistic Regression (LR), Decision Trees (DT), and Support Vector Machines (SVM). The primary objective of this study is to enhance the accuracy and timeliness of LAN switch failure predictions, thereby facilitating more proactive and effective network management. Our methodology involves the integration of DES for trend analysis and forecasting in time-series data, with the advanced predictive capabilities of the aforementioned ML algorithms. This hybrid approach not only leverages the strengths of DES in identifying underlying patterns in failure data but also capitalizes on the diverse predictive models to handle various aspects of failure prediction more robustly. The paper details the process of data collection, preprocessing, and the specific application of DES and each ML algorithm to the dataset. A notable contribution of this research is the development of a framework that effectively combines the output of DES with ML models, leading to a significant improvement in predictive accuracy as compared to traditional methods. Through rigorous testing and validation; the proposed approach demonstrated a marked increase in the precision and reliability of failure predictions. The results indicate that the integration of DES with ML algorithms can substantially aid in preemptive maintenance and decision-making processes in LAN management. The implications of these findings are profound, suggesting that such a combined approach can greatly enhance network stability and efficiency. While the focus of this study is on LAN switches, the methodology has the potential for broader applications in various fields of network management and predictive maintenance.

BPMN , Decision-making systems , Double exponential smoothing , LAN , Machine learning , Network

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Computer science department, Korkyt Ata Kyzylorda University, Kyzylorda, 120000, Kazakhstan
M. Narikbayev KAZGUU University, Astana, 010000, Kazakhstan
Department of Intelligent Systems and Cybersecurity, Astana IT University, Astana, 010000, Kazakhstan
Department of Informatics, Systems and Communication (DISCo), University of Milano-Bicocca, Viale Sarca 336, Milan, 20126, Italy
RCAST, Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo, Komaba Campus, 4-6-1 Meguro-ku, Tokyo, 153-8904, Japan
Electronics & Communications Engineering Department, Faculty of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Istanbul Technical University (ITU), Istanbul, 34469, Turkey
LISEA Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Applied Sciences, University of Bouira, Bouira, 10000, Algeria
Department of Electrical and Electronics engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Istinye University, Istanbul, Turkey
Department of Electrical-Electronic Engineering, Engineering Faculty, Gazi University, Ankara, 06560, Turkey

Computer science department
M. Narikbayev KAZGUU University
Department of Intelligent Systems and Cybersecurity
Department of Informatics
RCAST
Electronics & Communications Engineering Department
LISEA Laboratory
Department of Electrical and Electronics engineering
Department of Electrical-Electronic Engineering

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