REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGES IN ALMATY REGION UNDER GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
Munaitpassova A.N. Zheksenbaeva A.K. Zhadi A. Zhanat A.
2025National Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan
News of the National Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Series of Geology and Technical Sciences
2025#2025Issue 4222 - 241 pp.
One of the global problems of our time is climate change. This problem is relevant not only at the level of individual states, but also on a global scale, having a significant impact on both natural ecosystems and socio-economic development of mankind. In the presented article, a comprehensive study of the impact of global warming on the climate of Almaty region, located in the south-east of the Republic of Kazakhstan, has been conducted. To analyze trends, the non-parametric MannKendall test in the R Studio software environment was used, which allowed us to assess the statistical significance of changes. Additionally, using Climpact software, climatic indices were calculated from daily meteorological data reflecting extreme climatic events. Based on climate scenarios presented in the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), modeling of possible multi-year changes in air temperature and precipitation in the region was performed using the QGIS geoinformation system. The obtained results indicate the presence of stable trends of climate change in Almaty region and emphasize the need to take into account regional climatic changes. Projections based on various socio-economic scenarios show a possible increase in air temperature by the end of the 21st century, which emphasizes the relevance of integrating climate risks into the processes of strategic planning and natural resource management. The results of the study can be used for adaptation measures and decision-making in the fields of sustainable development, agriculture, water resources and environmental protection. , 2025.
climate indices , future climate change scenarios , temperature and precipitation anomalies , temporal changes in air temperature and precipitation
Text of the article Перейти на текст статьи
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan
JSC Insitute of geography and water security, Almaty, Kazakhstan
LLP My Startups (subsidiary of Astana Motors), Astana, Kazakhstan
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University
JSC Insitute of geography and water security
LLP My Startups (subsidiary of Astana Motors)
10 лет помогаем публиковать статьи Международный издатель
Книга Публикация научной статьи Волощук 2026 Book Publication of a scientific article 2026