Analysis of the Relationship between Oil Prices and Current Accounts in Oil Importing Countries
Mombekova G. Sarsenova A. Kuralbayev A. Izatullayeva B. Kaltayeva S.
21 April 2025Econjournals
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
2025#15Issue 330 - 36 pp.
The fact that oil resources are concentrated in certain regions of the world is a serious economic problem for countries that import oil intensively. Especially the changes in oil prices have a great effect on the economic indicators of the countries. The current account balance is shown among the most important macroeconomic problems of many countries. The aim of this study is to examine the effect of the changes in oil prices between the periods of 2000Q1-2024Q1 on the current account balance of oil importing countries. The relationship between the variables was analyzed with Hacker and Hatemi-J (2006) symmetric and Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality tests. As a result of the analyzes, no symmetric causality relationship was determined between oil prices and the current account balance in oil importing countries. According to the results of the Hatemi-J (2012) asymmetric causality test, it was determined that there were asymmetric causality relationships between the variables in all other countries except Germany and the Netherlands.
Asymmetric Relationship , Current Account Balance , Current Account Deficit , Oil Price , Oil İmporting Countries
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Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan
International Taraz innovative institute named after Sherhan Murtaza, Taraz, Kazakhstan
International University of Tourism and Hospitality, Turkestan, Kazakhstan
Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University
International Taraz innovative institute named after Sherhan Murtaza
International University of Tourism and Hospitality
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