Drivers of human-saiga antelope conflict in semi-arid rangelands of West Kazakhstan
Koshkina A. Smelansky I. Tabelinova A. Stephens G. Jones S. Salemgareev A. Bowe M. Devenish A.
January 2026Elsevier Ltd
Biological Conservation
2026#313
The saiga antelope (Saiga tatarica), a keystone species of the Eurasian steppe biome, has recovered from near extinction in the early 2000s to a population of 2.8 million by 2024. This remarkable recovery has transformed the species into a global conservation success story. However rapidly increasing populations have also reshaped the nature of human-wildlife interactions and intensified conflicts in parts of their range, particularly in western Kazakhstan, which hosts over half of the global saiga population. To assess the extent, nature and drivers of this human-saiga conflict we conducted an interdisciplinary study combining semi-structured interviews (n = 112; thematically coded), participatory mapping, and geospatial analyses across four districts of the West Kazakhstan Province during 2022–23. We identified four main conflict drivers: (1) damage to haymaking lands, (2) competition with livestock over scarce freshwater resources, (3) competition for grazing lands and (4) the perceived risk of saiga spreading zoonotic diseases to livestock. Spatial mapping identified over 60 potential hotspots of water usage conflicts due to overlapping saiga-livestock densities, limited water availability, and intense grazing pressure. These conflicts are exacerbated during drought conditions and peak in seasons of heightened resource demand, such as saiga calving and winter grazing periods. Our findings extend beyond the immediate context of saiga-human interactions. By combining spatial ecological data (saiga occurrence, livestock densities, and water availability) with local community perceptions, we identified areas of conflict and their underlying drivers, offering actionable insights into mitigation strategies. These include restoring water infrastructure, implementing participatory management approaches, and developing compensation mechanisms to offset resource losses. The study underscores the urgent need for adaptive conservation frameworks that balance the ecological imperatives of species recovery with the livelihoods of pastoralist communities. These insights are critical for addressing similar conservation challenges globally, particularly in comparable rangeland systems experiencing rapid ecological and socio-economic change.
Central Asia , Human-ungulate conflict , Human-wildlife coexistence , Rangeland conservation , Saiga , Steppes
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Association for the Conservation of Biodiversity of Kazakhstan (ACBK), 18 Beibitshilik Street, Office 406, Astana, 010000, Kazakhstan
The Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB) Centre for Conservation Science, The Lodge, Bedfordshire, United Kingdom
Royal Botanic Gardens Kew, Richmond, London, United Kingdom
Association for the Conservation of Biodiversity of Kazakhstan (ACBK)
The Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB) Centre for Conservation Science
Royal Botanic Gardens Kew
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