Assessment of critical rainfall scenarios for slope stability analyses based on historical rainfall records in Singapore


Kim Y. Rahardjo H. Nistor M.M. Satyanaga A. Leong E.-C. Sham A.W.L.
January 2022Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH

Environmental Earth Sciences
2022#81Issue 2

Rainfall-induced slope failure occurs in many countries including Singapore where slopes are mostly covered with residual soils. Although the significance and impact of rainfall infiltration in inducing slope failures are widely investigated, there have been diverse conclusions regarding the relative roles between soil and rainfall to slope failures under various environmental conditions. In this study, parametric studies were carried out for seven rainfall scenarios and two soils to explore the critical rainfall scenarios affecting the slope stability in Singapore. Special attention was given to the analyses of intensity and duration of the rainfall based on historical rainfall data during the period of 1982–2017 in Singapore. A transient seepage analysis was conducted, and the computed pore-water pressures were used in stability analyses to calculate the variation of factor of safety of the slope during rainfall. The results indicated that the slope with low permeability soil is mainly affected by the 5-day rainfall scenario, while the slope with high permeability soil is mainly affected by the maximum daily rainfall scenario in Singapore. Three case studies clearly validated the findings of this study.

Numerical analysis , Rainfall scenarios , Residual soil , Slope stability

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School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore
Special Functions Group, Enforcement & Structural Inspection Department, Building and Construction Authority, Singapore, Singapore
School of Engineering, University of Glasgow, Singapore, Singapore
Department of Hydrogeology, Earthresearch Company, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Nazarbayev University, Nur-Sultan, 010000, Kazakhstan

School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Special Functions Group
School of Engineering
Department of Hydrogeology
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering

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