Development of machine learning models for forecasting the strength of resilient modulus of subgrade soil: genetic and artificial neural network approaches

Khawaja L. Asif U. Onyelowe K. Al Asmari A.F. Khan D. Javed M.F. Alabduljabbar H.
December 2024 Nature Research

Scientific Reports
2024 #14 Issue 1

Accurately predicting the Modulus of Resilience (M_R) of subgrade soils, which exhibit non-linear stress–strain behaviors, is crucial for effective soil assessment. Traditional laboratory techniques for determining M_R are often costly and time-consuming. This study explores the efficacy of Genetic Programming (GEP), Multi-Expression Programming (MEP), and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) in forecasting MR using 2813 data records while considering six key parameters. Several Statistical assessments were utilized to evaluate model accuracy. The results indicate that the GEP model consistently outperforms MEP and ANN models, demonstrating the lowest error metrics and highest correlation indices (R²). During training, the GEP model achieved an R² value of 0.996, surpassing the MEP (R² = 0.97) and ANN (R² = 0.95) models. Sensitivity and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis were also performed to gain insights into input parameter significance. Sensitivity analysis revealed that confining stress (21.6%) and dry density (26.89%) are the most influential parameters in predicting MR. SHAP analysis corroborated these findings, highlighting the critical impact of these parameters on model predictions. This study underscores the reliability of GEP as a robust tool for precise M_R prediction in subgrade soil applications, providing valuable insights into model performance and parameter significance across various machine-learning (ML) approaches.

Artificial neural network , Genetic programming , Resilient modulus , Subgrade soil

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COMSATS University Islamabad, Abbottabad Campus, Abbottabad, Pakistan
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, School of Engineering and Digital Sciences, Nazarbayev University, Nur-Sultan, 010000, Kazakhstan
Department of Civil Engineering, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture, Umudike, 440109, Nigeria
Department of Civil Engineering, Kampala International University, Western Campus, Bushenyi District, Kampala, Uganda
Civil Engineering Department, College of Engineering, King Khalid University, Abha, 61421, Saudi Arabia
Department of Transport Systems, Traffic Engineering and Logistics, Faculty of Transport and Aviation Engineering, Silesian University of Technology, Katowice, Poland
Department of Civil Engineering, Ghulam Ishaq Khan Institute of Engineering Sciences and Technology, Topi, Pakistan
Western Caspian University, Baku, Azerbaijan
Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering in Al-Kharj, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Al-Kharj, 11942, Saudi Arabia

COMSATS University Islamabad
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Department of Civil Engineering
Department of Civil Engineering
Civil Engineering Department
Department of Transport Systems
Department of Civil Engineering
Western Caspian University
Department of Civil Engineering

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