The Role of Atmospheric Circulation Patterns in Water Storage of the World’s Largest High-Altitude Landslide-Dammed Lake
Deng X. Li Y. Zhang J. Kong L. Abuduwaili J. Gulayozov M. Kodirov A. Ma L.
February 2025Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
Atmosphere
2025#16Issue 2
This study reconstructed the annual lake surface area (LSA) and absolute lake water storage (LWS) changes of Lake Sarez, the world’s largest high-altitude landslide-dammed lake, from 1992 to 2023 using multi-source remote sensing data. All available Landsat images were used to extract the LSA using an improved multi-index threshold method, which incorporates a slope mask and threshold adjustment to enhance the boundary delineation accuracy (Kappa coefficient = 0.94). By combining the LSA with high-resolution DEM and the GLOBathy bathymetry dataset, the absolute LWS was reconstructed, fluctuating between 12.3 × 109 and 12.8 × 109 m3. A water balance analysis revealed that inflow runoff (IRO) was the primary driver of LWS changes, contributing 54.57%. The cross-wavelet transform and wavelet coherence analyses showed that the precipitation (PRE) and snow water equivalent (SWE) were key climatic factors that directly influenced the variability of IRO, impacting the interannual water availability in the lake, with PRE having a more sustained impact. Temperature indirectly regulated IRO by affecting SWE and potential evapotranspiration. Furthermore, IRO exhibited different resonance periods and time lags with various atmospheric circulation factors, with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation having the most significant influence on its interannual variations. These findings provide crucial insights into the hydrological behavior of Lake Sarez under climate change and offer a novel approach for studying water storage dynamics in high-altitude landslide-dammed lakes, thereby supporting regional water resource management and ecological conservation.
climate change , cross-wavelet analysis , driving factors , Lake Sarez , lake water storage change
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State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, 830011, China
Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, 830011, China
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, 050012, Kazakhstan
Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia (Dushanbe), Dushanbe, 734024, Tajikistan
Centre for Innovative Development of Science and New Technologies, National Academy of Science of Tajikistan, Dushanbe, 734025, Tajikistan
State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology
Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
China-Kazakhstan Joint Laboratory for Remote Sensing Technology and Application
Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia (Dushanbe)
Centre for Innovative Development of Science and New Technologies
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