The relationship between bank lending and economic factors in the regions of Kazakhstan
Bekbossinova A. Vasa L. Nurekenova E.
2024LLC CPC Business Perspectives
Banks and Bank Systems
2024#19Issue 41 - 16 pp.
Understanding the impact of economic factors on bank lending is crucial in Kazakhstan’s modern economy, characterized by volatile inflation and fluctuations in real wages. This paper aims to investigate the link between bank lending and economic factors such as inflation, real wages, and consumer expenditure in a regional context. Data from the Bureau of National Statistics and the National Bank, covering the period from 2012 to 2022, were used to uncover how economic factors influence bank lending. For the analysis, various economic indicators were integrated through normalization and averaging. Analysis reveals significant regional disparities in real wages and consumer expenditures, which impact the demand for bank credit. The results of the correlation matrix showed that both real wages (P-value < 0.001) and inflation (P-value < 0.001) significantly impact bank lending, with an R2 value of 0.998, indicating that the model explains 99.8% of the variation in bank lending. The regression analysis highlights that regions with higher real wages, such as Astana, Almaty, and Atyrau, provide the most favorable conditions for banking sector growth, demonstrated by a strong relationship between wages and bank lending. In contrast, regions with lower wage levels, such as Turkestan and Zhambyl, show a significantly weaker connection (around 0.65), reflecting their lower attractiveness for banking investment and emphasizing the need for policies to address social inequality. The Durbin-Watson test confirmed no autocorrelation in residuals (DW = 1.89), although heteroscedasticity was detected, suggesting the need for further model adjustments. The study emphasizes the importance of developing economic policies that can balance regional development and improve financial stability.
bank , bank lending , banking sector , economic indicators , financial inclusion , financial stability , Kazakhstan , social inequality
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Department of Finance and Accounting, University of International Business named after K. Sagadiyev, Kazakhstan
Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, Széchenyi István University, Hungary
Serikbayev East Kazakhstan Technical University, Kazakhstan
Department of Finance and Accounting
Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences
Serikbayev East Kazakhstan Technical University
10 лет помогаем публиковать статьи Международный издатель
Книга Публикация научной статьи Волощук 2026 Book Publication of a scientific article 2026