Integrating the pressure-state-response model with the extension catastrophe progression for flood risk and resilience assessment
Band S.S. Qasem S.N. Eslami S. Mansor Z. Gupta B.B. Pai H.-T. Biyari M. Mosavi A. Sajedi Hosseini F.
September 2025Elsevier B.V.
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
2025#27
Despite the devastating effects of floods, the concept of resilience is still not fully considered in the assessment and management of flood risk. To study how resilience can lower the risk of floods and further enhance disaster response, this research aims to close this knowledge gap. With a focus on the Kashkan watershed in Iran, the study combines the extended catastrophe progression method with the pressure-state-response model. Three catastrophe models, namely the cusp, swallowtail, and butterfly, are applied. According to the findings, southern regions, i.e., Pol-Dokhtar city, have the highest risk of floods and the lowest resilience. Resilience and flood risk have a complementary relationship, according to the analysis, and resilience is a helpful metric for risk assessment. The results emphasize the necessity to incorporate resilience-focused pre-disruption planning and post-disaster recovery into flood risk management strategy. This work offers a foundation to incorporate resilience into future flood policies and strategies.
Extension catastrophe progression method , Flood , Pressure-state-response model , Resilience , Risk
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Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University, Karaganda, Kazakhstan
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Department of Information Management
Computer Science Department
School of Business
Research Center for Software Technology and Management
Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering
School of Cybersecurity
Symbiosis Centre for Information Technology
Department of Big Data Business Analytics
Department of Information Management
John von Neumann Faculty of Informatics
Ludovika University of Public Service
Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University
Reclamation of Arid and Mountainous Regions Department
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