The impact of oil prices on the food inflation in Kazakhstan

Baimaganbetov S. Kelesbayev D. Baibosynova G. Yermankulova R. Dandayeva B.
2021 Econjournals

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
2021 #11 Issue 3 73 - 79 pp.

This paper assesses empirically the effects of real oil price shocks on the food inflation in Kazakhstan for the monthly period 2004-2019 by using a VAR model. Standard unit root tests do not yield reliable results in the presence of breaks. In this regard, Zivot and Andrews (1992) has been tested with the help of unit root test. Food prices have been proven to be I (1) according to the Zivot and Andrews (1992) test, while I (0) is according to the ADF test. In subsequent steps, the causality test of the variables was performed. According to the test, there is a double-chance causality between oil prices and food prices. The short-term effect of the variables is investigated with the help of the VAR model. As a result, crude oil prices have an indirect impact on food prices.

Food Prices , Inflation , Kazakhstan , Oil Prices , Unit-Root Test , VAR Model

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Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University, Turkestan, Kazakhstan

Khoja Akhmet Yassawi International Kazakh-Turkish University

10 лет помогаем публиковать статьи Международный издатель

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