Untangling the Integral Impact of Land Use Change, Economic, Ecological and Social Factors on the Development of Burabay District (Kazakhstan) during the Period 1999–2021

Alipbeki O. Mussaif G. Alipbekova C. Kapassova A. Grossul P. Aliyev M. Mineyev N.
May 2023 MDPI

Sustainability (Switzerland)
2023 #15 Issue 9

Long-term spatiotemporal Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) analysis is an objective tool for assessing patterns of sustainable development (SD). The basic purpose of this research is to define the Driving Mechanisms (DM) and assess the trend of SD in the Burabay district (Kazakhstan), which includes a city, an agro-industrial complex, and a national natural park, based on the integrated use of spatiotemporal data (STD), economic, environmental, and social (EES) indicators. The research was performed on the GEE platform using Landsat and Random Forest. The DM were studied by Multiple Linear Regression and Principal Component Analysis. SD trend was assessed through sequential transformations, aggregations, and integrations of 36 original STD and EES indicators. The overall classification accuracy was 0.85–0.97. Over the past 23 years, pasture area has changed the most (−16.69%), followed by arable land (+14.72%), forest area increased slightly (+1.81%), and built-up land—only +0.16%. The DM of development of the AOI are mainly economic components. There has been a noticeable drop in the development growth of the study area in 2021, which is apparently a consequence of the COVID-19. The upshots of the research can serve as a foundation for evaluating SD and LULC policy.

agriculture , assessing development , city , driving mechanisms , land use , national natural park , remote sensing , sustainable development

Text of the article Перейти на текст статьи

Department Geodesy and Cartography, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana, 01011, Kazakhstan
Department Biology, Plant Protection and Quarantine, S. Seifullin Kazakh Agrotechnical Research University, Astana, 01011, Kazakhstan

Department Geodesy and Cartography
Department Biology

10 лет помогаем публиковать статьи Международный издатель

Книга Публикация научной статьи Волощук 2026 Book Publication of a scientific article 2026