Determination of integral indicators characterizing the possibility of accommodating the evacuated population in the territory of the Republic of Kazakhstan


Akimbayev Y.Z. Akhmetov Z.K. Kuanyshbaev M.S. Abdykalykov A.T. Ibrayev R.V.
July 2022SAGE Publications Inc.

Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation
2022#19Issue 3347 - 353 pp.

Studying the historical facts of past wars and armed conflicts and natural and man-made emergencies, today in the Republic of Kazakhstan one of the most important security issues is the preparation and organization of the evacuation of the population from possible dangerous zones, taking into account the emergence of new threats to the country’s security. The paper presents an algorithm for constructing universal scales of the distribution function of opportunities by types of support and rebuilding them into subject scales using display functions. The purpose of the paper is to determine the integral indicators characterizing the possibility of accommodation of the evacuated population and the impact on resources during relocation. On the subject scales of cities and districts of the region, indicators of the possibility of relocation of a certain amount of the evacuated population by types of support and indicators characterizing the impact on the district’s resources during resettlement of a certain amount of the evacuated population are determined. It was concluded that the use of integrated indicators allows the selection of areas to accommodate the evacuated population without the use of statistical data, in conditions of incomplete and inaccurate information. The presented method does not replace traditional methods based on classical methods of territory assessment by the level of life sustenance, but also allows their reasonable combination with the experience of specialists in this field, taking into account the incompleteness, uncertainty, and inconsistency of the initial data of the study area, which does not allow the application of existing methods.

emergency situation , Integral indicator , level of life sustenance , safety measures

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Department of Operational Art and Tactics of the National Guard, National Defense University named after the First President of the Republic of Kazakhstan – Elbassy, Kazakhstan
Faculty of the National Guard of the Republic of Kazakhstan, National Defense University named after the First President of the Republic of Kazakhstan – Elbassy, Kazakhstan
Department of Civil Defense and Military Training, Kokshetau Technical Institute of Ministry of Emergency Measures, Kazakhstan
Faculty of National Guard, National Defense University named after the First President of the Republic of Kazakhstan – Elbassy, Kazakhstan

Department of Operational Art and Tactics of the National Guard
Faculty of the National Guard of the Republic of Kazakhstan
Department of Civil Defense and Military Training
Faculty of National Guard

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