Education as an Economic Instrument of Internal Migration Regulation in Kazakhstan: Analysis and Evaluation of State Initiatives


Akhmetova G. Davletbayeva Z. Ismailova R. Torebekova Z.
2025Association for Social Studies Educa

Journal of Social Studies Education Research
2025#16Issue 1163 - 187 pp.

This study is dedicated to analyzing and evaluating government initiatives aimed at addressing migration challenges in Kazakhstan that manifest in uneven migration flows and significant disparities in population density between the southern and northern regions. The authors assess the implementation of a state program as part of their analysis, which, through an educational initiative in the form of grants and other support for young people, was intended to promote population migration from the densely populated southern regions to the northern and central regions, where a systematic outflow of the population has been observed. The paper’s objective is to assess the effectiveness and evaluate the impact of the state initiative known as “Serpin-2050” by employing the Difference-in-Differences (DID) method, which allows for the assessment of changes in migration flows before and after the introduction of this initiative, as well as across the regions participating in the program. The findings of this study indicate that, despite the allocated funding, the implementation of the program has not been effective. Specifically, certain key indicators related to increasing population inflow to the northern and central regions have not been achieved. Participants of the Serpin-2050 program struggled to adapt to the northern regions and eventually returned to their previous places of residence. As a result, the problem of demographic imbalances between the northern and southern regions remains unresolved.

educational grants , effectiveness assessment , government policy , internal migration

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The Institute of Management, Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan
National School of Public Policy, Academy of Public Administration under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan
Astana IT University, Kazakhstan
Center for Research and Evaluation, Kazakhstan

The Institute of Management
National School of Public Policy
Astana IT University
Center for Research and Evaluation

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